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6.5 Introduction to Hypothesis Tests

Dalmation puppy near man sitting on the floor.

One job of a statistician is to make statistical inferences about populations based on samples taken from the population. Confidence intervals are one way to estimate a population parameter.

Another way to make a statistical inference is to make a decision about a parameter. For instance, a car dealer advertises that its new small truck gets 35 miles per gallon, on average. A tutoring service claims that its method of tutoring helps 90% of its students get an A or a B. A company says that women managers in their company earn an average of $60,000 per year. A statistician may want to make a decision about or evaluate these claims. A hypothesis test can be used to do this .

A hypothesis test involves collecting data from a sample and evaluating the data. Then, the statistician makes a decision as to whether or not there is sufficient evidence, based upon analyses of the data, to reject the null hypothesis.

In this section you will conduct hypothesis tests on single means when the population standard deviation is known.

Hypothesis testing consists of two contradictory hypotheses or statements, a decision based on the data, and a conclusion. To perform a hypothesis test, a statistician will perform some variation of these steps:

Define hypotheses.
Collect and/OR use the sample data to determine the correct distribution to use.
Calculate Test Statistic.
Make a decision
Write a conclusion.

Defining your hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

The null hypothesis ( H 0 ): It is often a statement of the accepted historical value or norm. This is your starting point that you must assume from the beginning in order to show an effect exists.

The alternative hypothesis ( H a ) : It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision . There are two options for a decision. They are “reject H 0 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject H 0 ” or “decline to reject H 0 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical symbols used in H 0 and H a :

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null hypothesis is: H 0 : μ = 2.0. What is the alternative hypothesis?

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Using the Sample to Test the Null Hypothesis

Once you have defined your hypotheses the next step in the process, is to collect sample data. In a classroom context most of the time the data or summary statistics will be given to you.

Then you will have to determine the correct distribution to perform the hypothesis test, given the assumptions you are able to make about the situation. Right now we are demonstrating these ideas in a test for a mean when the population standard deviation is known using the Z distribution. We will see other scenarios in the future.

Calculating a Test Statistic

Next, you will start evaluating the data. This begins with calculating your test statistic , which is a measure of how far what you observed is from what you are assuming to he true. In this context, your test statistic, z ο , quantifies the number of standard deviations between the sample mean x and the population mean µ. Calculating the test statistic is analogous to standardizing observations with Z-scores as discussed previously:

$z=\frac{\overline{x}-{\mu }_{o}}{\left(\frac{\sigma }{\sqrt{n}}\right)}$

where µ o is the value assumed to be true in the null hypothesis.

Making a Decision

Once you have your test statistic there are two methods to use it to make your decision:

Critical value method – This is one way you can make a decision, but will not be discussed in detail at this time.
P-Value method – This is the preferred method we will focus on.

P-Value Method

To find a p-value we use the test statistic to calculate the actual probability of getting the test result. Formally, the p -value is the probability that, if the null hypothesis is true, the results from another randomly selected sample will be as extreme or more extreme as the results obtained from the given sample.

A large p -value calculated from the data indicates that we should not reject the null hypothesis. The smaller the p -value, the more unlikely the outcome, and the stronger the evidence is against the null hypothesis. We would reject the null hypothesis if the evidence is strongly against it.

Draw a graph that shows the p -value. The hypothesis test is easier to perform if you use a graph because you see the problem more clearly.

Suppose a baker claims that his bread height is more than 15 cm, on average. Several of his customers do not believe him. To persuade his customers that he is right, the baker decides to do a hypothesis test. He bakes 10 loaves of bread. The mean height of the sample loaves is 17 cm. The baker knows from baking hundreds of loaves of bread that the standard deviation for the height is 0.5 cm. and the distribution of heights is normal.

The null hypothesis could be H 0 : μ ≤ 15

The alternate hypothesis is H a : μ > 15

The words “is more than” translates as a “>” so “ μ > 15″ goes into the alternate hypothesis. The null hypothesis must contradict the alternate hypothesis.

$\frac{\sigma }{\sqrt{n}}=\frac{0.5}{\sqrt{10}}=0.16$

Suppose the null hypothesis is true (the mean height of the loaves is no more than 15 cm). Then is the mean height (17 cm) calculated from the sample unexpectedly large? The hypothesis test works by asking the question how unlikely the sample mean would be if the null hypothesis were true. The graph shows how far out the sample mean is on the normal curve. The p -value is the probability that, if we were to take other samples, any other sample mean would fall at least as far out as 17 cm.

The p -value, then, is the probability that a sample mean is the same or greater than 17 cm. when the population mean is, in fact, 15 cm. We can calculate this probability using the normal distribution for means.

Normal distribution curve on average bread heights with values 15, as the population mean, and 17, as the point to determine the p-value, on the x-axis.

A p -value of approximately zero tells us that it is highly unlikely that a loaf of bread rises no more than 15 cm, on average. That is, almost 0% of all loaves of bread would be at least as high as 17 cm. purely by CHANCE had the population mean height really been 15 cm. Because the outcome of 17 cm. is so unlikely (meaning it is happening NOT by chance alone), we conclude that the evidence is strongly against the null hypothesis (the mean height is at most 15 cm.). There is sufficient evidence that the true mean height for the population of the baker’s loaves of bread is greater than 15 cm.

A normal distribution has a standard deviation of 1. We want to verify a claim that the mean is greater than 12. A sample of 36 is taken with a sample mean of 12.5.

Find The P-value:

Decision and conclusion

A systematic way to make a decision of whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis is to compare the p -value and a preset or preconceived α (also called a significance level ). A preset α is the probability of a Type I error (rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true). It may or may not be given to you at the beginning of the problem. If there is no given preconceived α , then use α = 0.05.

When you make a decision to reject or not reject H 0 , do as follows:

If α > p -value, reject H 0 . The results of the sample data are statistically significant . You can say there is sufficient evidence to conclude that H 0 is an incorrect belief and that the alternative hypothesis, H a , may be correct.
If α ≤ p -value, fail to reject H 0 . The results of the sample data are not significant. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the alternative hypothesis, H a , may be correct.

After you make your decision, write a thoughtful conclusion in the context of the scenario incorporating the hypotheses.

NOTE: When you “do not reject H 0 “, it does not mean that you should believe that H 0 is true. It simply means that the sample data have failed to provide sufficient evidence to cast serious doubt about the truthfulness of H o .

When using the p -value to evaluate a hypothesis test, it is sometimes useful to use the following memory device

If the p -value is low, the null must go.

If the p -value is high, the null must fly.

This memory aid relates a p -value less than the established alpha (the p is low) as rejecting the null hypothesis and, likewise, relates a p -value higher than the established alpha (the p is high) as not rejecting the null hypothesis.

Fill in the blanks.

Reject the null hypothesis when .

The results of the sample data .

Do not reject the null when hypothesis when .

It’s a Boy Genetics Labs claim their procedures improve the chances of a boy being born. The results for a test of a single population proportion are as follows:

H 0 : p = 0.50, H a : p > 0.50

p -value = 0.025

Interpret the results and state a conclusion in simple, non-technical terms.

Image Credits

Figure 6.11: Alora Griffiths (2019). “Dalmation puppy near man…” Public domain. Retrieved from https://unsplash.com/photos/7aRQZtLsvqw

Figure 6.13: Kindred Grey via Virginia Tech (2020). “Figure 6.11” CC BY-SA 4.0. Retrieved from https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Figure_6.11.png . Adaptation of Figure 5.39 from OpenStax Introductory Statistics (2013) (CC BY 4.0). Retrieved from https://openstax.org/books/statistics/pages/5-practice

A decision making procedure for determining whether sample evidence supports a hypothesis

The claim that is assumed to be true and is tested in a hypothesis test

A working hypothesis that is contradictory to the null hypothesis

A measure of how far what you observed is from the hypothesized (or claimed) value

The probability that an event will occur, assuming the null hypothesis is true

Probability that a true null hypothesis will be rejected, also known as Type I error and denoted by α

Finding sufficient evidence that the effect we see is not just due to variability, often from rejecting the null hypothesis

Significant Statistics Copyright © 2020 by John Morgan Russell, OpenStaxCollege, OpenIntro is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License , except where otherwise noted.

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Null-Hypothesis Testing with Graphs

First Online: 23 January 2016

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Ton J. Cleophas 3 &
Aeilko H. Zwinderman 4

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Because biological processes are full of variations, statistics will give no certainties only chances. What chances? Chances that hypotheses are true/untrue. What hypotheses? For example:

our mean effect is not different from a 0 effect,

it is really different from a 0 effect,

it is worse than a 0 effect,

where 0 effect means that your new treatment or any other intervention does not work. Statistics is about estimating such chances/testing such hypotheses. Please note that trials often calculate differences between a test treatment and a control treatment, and, subsequently, test whether this difference is larger than 0. A simple way to reduce a study of two groups of data, and, thus, two means to a single mean and single distribution of data, is to take the difference between the two means and compare it with 0. In Chap. 2 we explained that the data of a trial can be described in the form of a normal distribution graph with SEMs on the x-axis, and that this method is adequate for testing various statistical hypotheses. We will now focus on a very important hypothesis, the null-hypothesis. We will try and make a graph of this null-hypothesis, and then assess whether our result is significantly different from the null-hypothesis.

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Department of Medicine, Albert Schweitzer Hospital, Dordrecht, The Netherlands

Ton J. Cleophas

Department Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Aeilko H. Zwinderman

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Cleophas, T.J., Zwinderman, A.H. (2016). Null-Hypothesis Testing with Graphs. In: Clinical Data Analysis on a Pocket Calculator. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-27104-0_3

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9.2: Hypothesis Testing

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All hypotheses tests have the same basic steps:

Determine the hypothesis : What are we trying to figure out? This is formally written as the null and alternative hypotheses.
Calculate the evidence : This will be a test statistics and either a critical value or a p-value.
Make a decision : The options will be Reject the Null Hypothesis or Do not Reject the Null Hypothesis.
Determine the conclusion : What does the decision mean in terms of the problem given?

Null and Alternative Hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

$H_0$: The null hypothesis: It is a statement of no difference between the variables—they are not related. This can often be considered the status quo and as a result if you cannot accept the null it requires some action.

$H_a$: The alternative hypothesis: It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to $H_0$ and what we conclude when we reject $H_0$. This is usually what the researcher is trying to prove.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are "reject $H_0$" if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or "do not reject $H_0$" or "decline to reject $H_0$" if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

$H_{0}$ always has a symbol with an equal in it. $H_{a}$ never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers (including one of the co-authors in research work) use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

Example $\PageIndex{1}$

$H_{0}$: No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. $p \leq 30$
$H_{a}$: More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. $p > 30$

Exercise $\PageIndex{1}$

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

$H_{0}$: The drug reduces cholesterol by 25%. $p = 0.25$
$H_{a}$: The drug does not reduce cholesterol by 25%. $p \neq 0.25$

Example $\PageIndex{2}$

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are:

$H_{0}: \mu = 2.0$
$H_{a}: \mu \neq 2.0$

Exercise $\PageIndex{2}$

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol $(=, \neq, \geq, <, \leq, >)$ for the null and alternative hypotheses.

$H_{0}: \mu_ 66$
$H_{a}: \mu_ 66$
$H_{0}: \mu = 66$
$H_{a}: \mu \neq 66$

Example $\PageIndex{3}$

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are:

$H_{0}: \mu \geq 66$
$H_{a}: \mu < 66$

Exercise $\PageIndex{3}$

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

$H_{0}: \mu_ 45$
$H_{a}: \mu_ 45$
$H_{0}: \mu \geq 45$
$H_{a}: \mu < 45$

Example $\PageIndex{4}$

In an issue of U. S. News and World Report , an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third pass. The same article stated that 6.6% of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4% pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

$H_{0}: p \leq 0.066$
$H_{a}: p > 0.066$

Exercise $\PageIndex{4}$

On a state driver’s test, about 40% pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40% pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol ($=, \neq, \geq, <, \leq, >$) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

$H_{0}: p_ 0.40$
$H_{a}: p_ 0.40$
$H_{0}: p = 0.40$
$H_{a}: p > 0.40$

COLLABORATIVE EXERCISE

Bring to class a newspaper, some news magazines, and some Internet articles . In groups, find articles from which your group can write null and alternative hypotheses. Discuss your hypotheses with the rest of the class.

Outcomes and the Type I and Type II Errors

When you perform a hypothesis test, there are four possible outcomes depending on the actual truth (or falseness) of the null hypothesis $H_{0}$ and the decision to reject or not. The outcomes are summarized in the following table:

The four possible outcomes in the table are:

The decision is not to reject $H_{0}$ when $H_{0}$ is true (correct decision).
The decision is to reject $H_{0}$ when $H_{0}$ is true (incorrect decision known as aType I error).
The decision is not to reject $H_{0}$ when, in fact, $H_{0}$ is false (incorrect decision known as a Type II error).
The decision is to reject $H_{0}$ when $H_{0}$ is false ( correct decision whose probability is called the Power of the Test ).

Each of the errors occurs with a particular probability. The Greek letters $\alpha$ and $\beta$ represent the probabilities.

$\alpha =$ probability of a Type I error $= P(\text{Type I error}) =$ probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true.
$\beta =$ probability of a Type II error $= P(\text{Type II error}) =$ probability of not rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false.

$\alpha$ and $\beta$ should be as small as possible because they are probabilities of errors. They are rarely zero.

The Power of the Test is $1 - \beta$. Ideally, we want a high power that is as close to one as possible. Increasing the sample size can increase the Power of the Test. The following are examples of Type I and Type II errors.

Example $\PageIndex{5}$: Type I vs. Type II errors

Suppose the null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, is: Frank's rock climbing equipment is safe.

Type I error : Frank thinks that his rock climbing equipment may not be safe when, in fact, it really is safe.
Type II error : Frank thinks that his rock climbing equipment may be safe when, in fact, it is not safe.

$\alpha =$ probability that Frank thinks his rock climbing equipment may not be safe when, in fact, it really is safe.

$\beta =$ probability that Frank thinks his rock climbing equipment may be safe when, in fact, it is not safe.

Notice that, in this case, the error with the greater consequence is the Type II error. (If Frank thinks his rock climbing equipment is safe, he will go ahead and use it.)

Exercise $\PageIndex{5}$

Suppose the null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, is: the blood cultures contain no traces of pathogen $X$. State the Type I and Type II errors.

Type I error : The researcher thinks the blood cultures do contain traces of pathogen $X$, when in fact, they do not.
Type II error : The researcher thinks the blood cultures do not contain traces of pathogen $X$, when in fact, they do.

Example $\PageIndex{6}$

Suppose the null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, is: The victim of an automobile accident is alive when he arrives at the emergency room of a hospital.

Type I error : The emergency crew thinks that the victim is dead when, in fact, the victim is alive.
Type II error : The emergency crew does not know if the victim is alive when, in fact, the victim is dead.

$\alpha =$ probability that the emergency crew thinks the victim is dead when, in fact, he is really alive $= P(\text{Type I error})$.

$\beta =$ probability that the emergency crew does not know if the victim is alive when, in fact, the victim is dead $= P(\text{Type II error})$.

The error with the greater consequence is the Type I error. (If the emergency crew thinks the victim is dead, they will not treat him.)

Exercise $\PageIndex{6}$

Suppose the null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, is: a patient is not sick. Which type of error has the greater consequence, Type I or Type II?

The error with the greater consequence is the Type II error: the patient will be thought well when, in fact, he is sick, so he will not get treatment.

Example $\PageIndex{7}$

It’s a Boy Genetic Labs claim to be able to increase the likelihood that a pregnancy will result in a boy being born. Statisticians want to test the claim. Suppose that the null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, is: It’s a Boy Genetic Labs has no effect on gender outcome.

Type I error : This results when a true null hypothesis is rejected. In the context of this scenario, we would state that we believe that It’s a Boy Genetic Labs influences the gender outcome, when in fact it has no effect. The probability of this error occurring is denoted by the Greek letter alpha, $\alpha$.
Type II error : This results when we fail to reject a false null hypothesis. In context, we would state that It’s a Boy Genetic Labs does not influence the gender outcome of a pregnancy when, in fact, it does. The probability of this error occurring is denoted by the Greek letter beta, $\beta$.

The error of greater consequence would be the Type I error since couples would use the It’s a Boy Genetic Labs product in hopes of increasing the chances of having a boy.

Exercise $\PageIndex{7}$

“Red tide” is a bloom of poison-producing algae–a few different species of a class of plankton called dinoflagellates. When the weather and water conditions cause these blooms, shellfish such as clams living in the area develop dangerous levels of a paralysis-inducing toxin. In Massachusetts, the Division of Marine Fisheries (DMF) monitors levels of the toxin in shellfish by regular sampling of shellfish along the coastline. If the mean level of toxin in clams exceeds 800 μg (micrograms) of toxin per kg of clam meat in any area, clam harvesting is banned there until the bloom is over and levels of toxin in clams subside. Describe both a Type I and a Type II error in this context, and state which error has the greater consequence.

In this scenario, an appropriate null hypothesis would be $H_{0}$: the mean level of toxins is at most $800 \mu\text{g}$, $H_{0}: \mu_{0} \leq 800 \mu\text{g}$.

Example $\PageIndex{8}$

A certain experimental drug claims a cure rate of at least 75% for males with prostate cancer. Describe both the Type I and Type II errors in context. Which error is the more serious?

Type I : A cancer patient believes the cure rate for the drug is less than 75% when it actually is at least 75%.
Type II : A cancer patient believes the experimental drug has at least a 75% cure rate when it has a cure rate that is less than 75%.

In this scenario, the Type II error contains the more severe consequence. If a patient believes the drug works at least 75% of the time, this most likely will influence the patient’s (and doctor’s) choice about whether to use the drug as a treatment option.

Exercise $\PageIndex{8}$

Determine both Type I and Type II errors for the following scenario:

Assume a null hypothesis, $H_{0}$, that states the percentage of adults with jobs is at least 88%. Identify the Type I and Type II errors from these four statements.

Not to reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88% when that percentage is actually less than 88%
Not to reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88% when the percentage is actually at least 88%.
Reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88% when the percentage is actually at least 88%.
Reject the null hypothesis that the percentage of adults who have jobs is at least 88% when that percentage is actually less than 88%.

Type I error: c

Type I error: b

Distribution Needed for Hypothesis Testing

Earlier in the course, we discussed sampling distributions. Particular distributions are associated with hypothesis testing. Perform tests of a population mean using a normal distribution or a Student's $t$-distribution. (Remember, use a Student's $t$-distribution when the population standard deviation is unknown and the distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal.) We perform tests of a population proportion using a normal distribution (usually $n$ is large or the sample size is large).

If you are testing a single population mean, the distribution for the test is for means :

\[\bar{X} - N\left(\mu_{x}, \frac{\sigma_{x}}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\]

The population parameter is $\mu$. The estimated value (point estimate) for $\mu$ is $\bar{x}$, the sample mean.

If you are testing a single population proportion, the distribution for the test is for proportions or percentages:

\[P' - N\left(p, \sqrt{\frac{p-q}{n}}\right)\]

The population parameter is $p$. The estimated value (point estimate) for $p$ is $p′$. $p' = \frac{x}{n}$ where $x$ is the number of successes and n is the sample size.

Assumptions

When you perform a hypothesis test of a single population mean $\mu$ using a Student's $t$-distribution (often called a $t$-test), there are fundamental assumptions that need to be met in order for the test to work properly. Your data should be a simple random sample that comes from a population that is approximately normally distributed. You use the sample standard deviation to approximate the population standard deviation. (Note that if the sample size is sufficiently large, a $t$-test will work even if the population is not approximately normally distributed).

When you perform a hypothesis test of a single population mean $\mu$ using a normal distribution (often called a $z$-test), you take a simple random sample from the population. The population you are testing is normally distributed or your sample size is sufficiently large. You know the value of the population standard deviation which, in reality, is rarely known.

When you perform a hypothesis test of a single population proportion $p$, you take a simple random sample from the population. You must meet the conditions for a binomial distribution which are: there are a certain number $n$ of independent trials, the outcomes of any trial are success or failure, and each trial has the same probability of a success $p$. The shape of the binomial distribution needs to be similar to the shape of the normal distribution. To ensure this, the quantities $np$ and $nq$ must both be greater than five $(np > 5$ and $nq > 5)$. Then the binomial distribution of a sample (estimated) proportion can be approximated by the normal distribution with $\mu = p$ and $\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{pq}{n}}$. Remember that $q = 1 – p$.

Rare Events, the Sample, Decision and Conclusion

Establishing the type of distribution, sample size, and known or unknown standard deviation can help you figure out how to go about a hypothesis test. However, there are several other factors you should consider when working out a hypothesis test.

Rare Events

Suppose you make an assumption about a property of the population (this assumption is the null hypothesis). Then you gather sample data randomly. If the sample has properties that would be very unlikely to occur if the assumption is true, then you would conclude that your assumption about the population is probably incorrect. (Remember that your assumption is just an assumption—it is not a fact and it may or may not be true. But your sample data are real and the data are showing you a fact that seems to contradict your assumption.)

For example, Didi and Ali are at a birthday party of a very wealthy friend. They hurry to be first in line to grab a prize from a tall basket that they cannot see inside because they will be blindfolded. There are 200 plastic bubbles in the basket and Didi and Ali have been told that there is only one with a $100 bill. Didi is the first person to reach into the basket and pull out a bubble. Her bubble contains a $100 bill. The probability of this happening is $\frac{1}{200} = 0.005$. Because this is so unlikely, Ali is hoping that what the two of them were told is wrong and there are more $100 bills in the basket. A "rare event" has occurred (Didi getting the $100 bill) so Ali doubts the assumption about only one $100 bill being in the basket.

Using the Sample to Test the Null Hypothesis

Use the sample data to calculate the actual probability of getting the test result, called the $p$-value. The $p$-value is the probability that, if the null hypothesis is true, the results from another randomly selected sample will be as extreme or more extreme as the results obtained from the given sample.

A large $p$-value calculated from the data indicates that we should not reject the null hypothesis. The smaller the $p$-value, the more unlikely the outcome, and the stronger the evidence is against the null hypothesis. We would reject the null hypothesis if the evidence is strongly against it.

Draw a graph that shows the $p$-value. The hypothesis test is easier to perform if you use a graph because you see the problem more clearly.

Example $\PageIndex{9}$

The null hypothesis could be $H_{0}: \mu \leq 15$
The alternate hypothesis is $H_{a}: \mu > 15$

The words "is more than" translates as a "$>$" so "$\mu > 15$" goes into the alternate hypothesis. The null hypothesis must contradict the alternate hypothesis.

Since $\sigma$ is known ($\sigma = 0.5 cm.$), the distribution for the population is known to be normal with mean $μ = 15$ and standard deviation

\[\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.5}{\sqrt{10}} = 0.16. \nonumber\]

The $p$ -value, then, is the probability that a sample mean is the same or greater than 17 cm. when the population mean is, in fact, 15 cm. We can calculate this probability using the normal distribution for means.

$p\text{-value} = P(\bar{x} > 17)$ which is approximately zero.

A $p$-value of approximately zero tells us that it is highly unlikely that a loaf of bread rises no more than 15 cm, on average. That is, almost 0% of all loaves of bread would be at least as high as 17 cm. purely by CHANCE had the population mean height really been 15 cm. Because the outcome of 17 cm. is so unlikely (meaning it is happening NOT by chance alone) , we conclude that the evidence is strongly against the null hypothesis (the mean height is at most 15 cm.). There is sufficient evidence that the true mean height for the population of the baker's loaves of bread is greater than 15 cm.

Exercise $\PageIndex{9}$

A normal distribution has a standard deviation of 1. We want to verify a claim that the mean is greater than 12. A sample of 36 is taken with a sample mean of 12.5.

$H_{0}: \mu leq 12$
$H_{a}: \mu > 12$

The $p$-value is 0.0013

Draw a graph that shows the $p$-value.

$p\text{-value} = 0.0013$

Decision and Conclusion

A systematic way to make a decision of whether to reject or not reject the null hypothesis is to compare the $p$-value and a preset or preconceived $\alpha$ (also called a " significance level "). A preset $\alpha$ is the probability of a Type I error (rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true). It may or may not be given to you at the beginning of the problem.

When you make a decision to reject or not reject $H_{0}$, do as follows:

If $\alpha > p\text{-value}$, reject $H_{0}$. The results of the sample data are significant. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that $H_{0}$ is an incorrect belief and that the alternative hypothesis, $H_{a}$, may be correct.
If $\alpha \leq p\text{-value}$, do not reject $H_{0}$. The results of the sample data are not significant.There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the alternative hypothesis,$H_{a}$, may be correct.

When you "do not reject $H_{0}$", it does not mean that you should believe that H 0 is true. It simply means that the sample data have failed to provide sufficient evidence to cast serious doubt about the truthfulness of $H_{0}$.

Conclusion: After you make your decision, write a thoughtful conclusion about the hypotheses in terms of the given problem.

Example $\PageIndex{10}$

When using the $p$-value to evaluate a hypothesis test, it is sometimes useful to use the following memory device

If the $p$-value is low, the null must go.
If the $p$-value is high, the null must fly.

This memory aid relates a $p$-value less than the established alpha (the $p$ is low) as rejecting the null hypothesis and, likewise, relates a $p$-value higher than the established alpha (the $p$ is high) as not rejecting the null hypothesis.

Fill in the blanks.

Reject the null hypothesis when ______________________________________.

The results of the sample data _____________________________________.

Do not reject the null when hypothesis when __________________________________________.

The results of the sample data ____________________________________________.

Reject the null hypothesis when the $p$ -value is less than the established alpha value . The results of the sample data support the alternative hypothesis .

Do not reject the null hypothesis when the $p$ -value is greater than the established alpha value . The results of the sample data do not support the alternative hypothesis .

Exercise $\PageIndex{10}$

It’s a Boy Genetics Labs claim their procedures improve the chances of a boy being born. The results for a test of a single population proportion are as follows:

$H_{0}: p = 0.50, H_{a}: p > 0.50$
$\alpha = 0.01$
$p\text{-value} = 0.025$

Interpret the results and state a conclusion in simple, non-technical terms.

Since the $p$-value is greater than the established alpha value (the $p$-value is high), we do not reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to support It’s a Boy Genetics Labs' stated claim that their procedures improve the chances of a boy being born.

Evaluate the null hypothesis , typically denoted with $H_{0}$. The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise. The null statement must always contain some form of equality $(=, \leq \text{or} \geq)$
Always write the alternative hypothesis , typically denoted with $H_{a}$ or $H_{1}$, using less than, greater than, or not equals symbols, i.e., $(\neq, >, \text{or} <)$.
If we reject the null hypothesis, then we can assume there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis.
Never state that a claim is proven true or false. Keep in mind the underlying fact that hypothesis testing is based on probability laws; therefore, we can talk only in terms of non-absolute certainties.

In every hypothesis test, the outcomes are dependent on a correct interpretation of the data. Incorrect calculations or misunderstood summary statistics can yield errors that affect the results. A Type I error occurs when a true null hypothesis is rejected. A Type II error occurs when a false null hypothesis is not rejected. The probabilities of these errors are denoted by the Greek letters $\alpha$ and $\beta$, for a Type I and a Type II error respectively. The power of the test, $1 - \beta$, quantifies the likelihood that a test will yield the correct result of a true alternative hypothesis being accepted. A high power is desirable.

In order for a hypothesis test’s results to be generalized to a population, certain requirements must be satisfied.

When testing for a single population mean:

A Student's $t$-test should be used if the data come from a simple, random sample and the population is approximately normally distributed, or the sample size is large, with an unknown standard deviation.
The normal test will work if the data come from a simple, random sample and the population is approximately normally distributed, or the sample size is large, with a known standard deviation.

When testing a single population proportion use a normal test for a single population proportion if the data comes from a simple, random sample, fill the requirements for a binomial distribution, and the mean number of successes and the mean number of failures satisfy the conditions: $np > 5$ and $nq > 5$ where $n$ is the sample size, $p$ is the probability of a success, and $q$ is the probability of a failure.

When the probability of an event occurring is low, and it happens, it is called a rare event. Rare events are important to consider in hypothesis testing because they can inform your willingness not to reject or to reject a null hypothesis. To test a null hypothesis, find the p -value for the sample data and graph the results. When deciding whether or not to reject the null the hypothesis, keep these two parameters in mind:

$\alpha > p-value$, reject the null hypothesis
$\alpha \leq p-value$, do not reject the null hypothesis

Formula Review

$H_{0}$ and $H_{a}$ are contradictory.

If $\alpha \leq p$-value, then do not reject $H_{0}$.
If$\alpha > p$-value, then reject $H_{0}$.

$\alpha$ is preconceived. Its value is set before the hypothesis test starts. The $p$-value is calculated from the data.

If there is no given preconceived $\alpha$, then use $\alpha = 0.05$.

Types of Hypothesis Tests

Single population mean, known population variance (or standard deviation): Normal test .
Single population mean, unknown population variance (or standard deviation): Student's $t$-test .
Single population proportion: Normal test .
For a single population mean , we may use a normal distribution with the following mean and standard deviation. Means: $\mu = \mu_{\bar{x}}$ and $\\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma_{x}}{\sqrt{n}}$
A single population proportion , we may use a normal distribution with the following mean and standard deviation. Proportions: $\mu = p$ and $\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{pq}{n}}$.

Data from the National Institute of Mental Health. Available online at http://www.nimh.nih.gov/publicat/depression.cfm .

It is continuous and assumes any real values.
The pdf is symmetrical about its mean of zero. However, it is more spread out and flatter at the apex than the normal distribution.
It approaches the standard normal distribution as $n$ gets larger.
There is a "family" of $t$-distributions: every representative of the family is completely defined by the number of degrees of freedom which is one less than the number of data items.

Contributors and Attributions

Barbara Illowsky and Susan Dean (De Anza College) with many other contributing authors. Content produced by OpenStax College is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 license. Download for free at http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected] .

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Knowledge Base
Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Published on 5 October 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on 6 December 2022.

The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test :

Null hypothesis (H 0 ): There’s no effect in the population .
Alternative hypothesis (H A ): There’s an effect in the population.

The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable .

Answering your research question with hypotheses, what is a null hypothesis, what is an alternative hypothesis, differences between null and alternative hypotheses, how to write null and alternative hypotheses, frequently asked questions about null and alternative hypotheses.

The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question . When the research question asks “Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?”, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) answers “No, there’s no effect in the population.” On the other hand, the alternative hypothesis (H A ) answers “Yes, there is an effect in the population.”

The null and alternative are always claims about the population. That’s because the goal of hypothesis testing is to make inferences about a population based on a sample . Often, we infer whether there’s an effect in the population by looking at differences between groups or relationships between variables in the sample.

You can use a statistical test to decide whether the evidence favors the null or alternative hypothesis. Each type of statistical test comes with a specific way of phrasing the null and alternative hypothesis. However, the hypotheses can also be phrased in a general way that applies to any test.

The null hypothesis is the claim that there’s no effect in the population.

If the sample provides enough evidence against the claim that there’s no effect in the population ( p ≤ α), then we can reject the null hypothesis . Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Although “fail to reject” may sound awkward, it’s the only wording that statisticians accept. Be careful not to say you “prove” or “accept” the null hypothesis.

Null hypotheses often include phrases such as “no effect”, “no difference”, or “no relationship”. When written in mathematical terms, they always include an equality (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

Examples of null hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and null hypotheses. There’s always more than one way to answer a research question, but these null hypotheses can help you get started.

*Note that some researchers prefer to always write the null hypothesis in terms of “no effect” and “=”. It would be fine to say that daily meditation has no effect on the incidence of depression and p 1 = p 2 .

The alternative hypothesis (H A ) is the other answer to your research question . It claims that there’s an effect in the population.

Often, your alternative hypothesis is the same as your research hypothesis. In other words, it’s the claim that you expect or hope will be true.

The alternative hypothesis is the complement to the null hypothesis. Null and alternative hypotheses are exhaustive, meaning that together they cover every possible outcome. They are also mutually exclusive, meaning that only one can be true at a time.

Alternative hypotheses often include phrases such as “an effect”, “a difference”, or “a relationship”. When alternative hypotheses are written in mathematical terms, they always include an inequality (usually ≠, but sometimes > or <). As with null hypotheses, there are many acceptable ways to phrase an alternative hypothesis.

Examples of alternative hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and alternative hypotheses to help you get started with formulating your own.

Null and alternative hypotheses are similar in some ways:

They’re both answers to the research question
They both make claims about the population
They’re both evaluated by statistical tests.

However, there are important differences between the two types of hypotheses, summarized in the following table.

To help you write your hypotheses, you can use the template sentences below. If you know which statistical test you’re going to use, you can use the test-specific template sentences. Otherwise, you can use the general template sentences.

The only thing you need to know to use these general template sentences are your dependent and independent variables. To write your research question, null hypothesis, and alternative hypothesis, fill in the following sentences with your variables:

Does independent variable affect dependent variable ?

Null hypothesis (H 0 ): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable .
Alternative hypothesis (H A ): Independent variable affects dependent variable .

Test-specific

Once you know the statistical test you’ll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose. The table below provides template sentences for common statistical tests.

Note: The template sentences above assume that you’re performing one-tailed tests . One-tailed tests are appropriate for most studies.

The null hypothesis is often abbreviated as H 0 . When the null hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an equality symbol (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

The alternative hypothesis is often abbreviated as H a or H 1 . When the alternative hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an inequality symbol (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >).

A research hypothesis is your proposed answer to your research question. The research hypothesis usually includes an explanation (‘ x affects y because …’).

A statistical hypothesis, on the other hand, is a mathematical statement about a population parameter. Statistical hypotheses always come in pairs: the null and alternative hypotheses. In a well-designed study , the statistical hypotheses correspond logically to the research hypothesis.

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Hypothesis Test Graph Generator

Note: After clicking "Draw here", you can click the "Copy to Clipboard" button (in Internet Explorer), or right-click on the graph and choose Copy. In your Word processor, choose Paste-Special from the Edit menu, and select "Bitmap" from the choices

Note: This creates the graph based on the shape of the normal curve, which is a reasonable approximation to the t-distribution for a large sample size. These graphs are not appropriate if you are doing a t-distribution with small sample size (less than 30).

Module 9: Hypothesis Testing With One Sample

Null and alternative hypotheses, learning outcomes.

Describe hypothesis testing in general and in practice

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 : The null hypothesis: It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.

H a : The alternative hypothesis : It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make adecision. There are two options for a decision . They are “reject H 0 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject H 0 ” or “decline to reject H 0 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers (including one of the co-authors in research work) use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

H 0 : No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30

H a : More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : The drug reduces cholesterol by 25%. p = 0.25

H a : The drug does not reduce cholesterol by 25%. p ≠ 0.25

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ = 2.0

H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : μ __ 66 H a : μ __ 66

H 0 : μ = 66
H a : μ ≠ 66

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ ≥ 5

H a : μ < 5

H 0 : μ ≥ 45
H a : μ < 45

In an issue of U.S. News and World Report , an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third pass. The same article stated that 6.6% of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4% pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : p ≤ 0.066

H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40% pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40% pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p __ 0.40 H a : p __ 0.40

H 0 : p = 0.40
H a : p > 0.40

Concept Review

In a hypothesis test , sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim. If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis , typically denoted with H 0 . The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise. The null statement must always contain some form of equality (=, ≤ or ≥) Always write the alternative hypothesis , typically denoted with H a or H 1 , using less than, greater than, or not equals symbols, i.e., (≠, >, or <). If we reject the null hypothesis, then we can assume there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Never state that a claim is proven true or false. Keep in mind the underlying fact that hypothesis testing is based on probability laws; therefore, we can talk only in terms of non-absolute certainties.

Formula Review

H 0 and H a are contradictory.

OpenStax, Statistics, Null and Alternative Hypotheses. Provided by : OpenStax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]:58/Introductory_Statistics . License : CC BY: Attribution
Introductory Statistics . Authored by : Barbara Illowski, Susan Dean. Provided by : Open Stax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected] . License : CC BY: Attribution . License Terms : Download for free at http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]
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S.3.2 hypothesis testing (p-value approach).

The P -value approach involves determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability — assuming the null hypothesis was true — of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed. If the P -value is small, say less than (or equal to) $\alpha$, then it is "unlikely." And, if the P -value is large, say more than $\alpha$, then it is "likely."

If the P -value is less than (or equal to) $\alpha$, then the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis. And, if the P -value is greater than $\alpha$, then the null hypothesis is not rejected.

Specifically, the four steps involved in using the P -value approach to conducting any hypothesis test are:

Specify the null and alternative hypotheses.
Using the sample data and assuming the null hypothesis is true, calculate the value of the test statistic. Again, to conduct the hypothesis test for the population mean μ , we use the t -statistic $t^*=\frac{\bar{x}-\mu}{s/\sqrt{n}}$ which follows a t -distribution with n - 1 degrees of freedom.
Using the known distribution of the test statistic, calculate the P -value : "If the null hypothesis is true, what is the probability that we'd observe a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than we did?" (Note how this question is equivalent to the question answered in criminal trials: "If the defendant is innocent, what is the chance that we'd observe such extreme criminal evidence?")
Set the significance level, $\alpha$, the probability of making a Type I error to be small — 0.01, 0.05, or 0.10. Compare the P -value to $\alpha$. If the P -value is less than (or equal to) $\alpha$, reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis. If the P -value is greater than $\alpha$, do not reject the null hypothesis.

Example S.3.2.1

Mean gpa section .

In our example concerning the mean grade point average, suppose that our random sample of n = 15 students majoring in mathematics yields a test statistic t * equaling 2.5. Since n = 15, our test statistic t * has n - 1 = 14 degrees of freedom. Also, suppose we set our significance level α at 0.05 so that we have only a 5% chance of making a Type I error.

Right Tailed

The P -value for conducting the right-tailed test H 0 : μ = 3 versus H A : μ > 3 is the probability that we would observe a test statistic greater than t * = 2.5 if the population mean $\mu$ really were 3. Recall that probability equals the area under the probability curve. The P -value is therefore the area under a t n - 1 = t 14 curve and to the right of the test statistic t * = 2.5. It can be shown using statistical software that the P -value is 0.0127. The graph depicts this visually.

t-distrbution graph showing the right tail beyond a t value of 2.5

The P -value, 0.0127, tells us it is "unlikely" that we would observe such an extreme test statistic t * in the direction of H A if the null hypothesis were true. Therefore, our initial assumption that the null hypothesis is true must be incorrect. That is, since the P -value, 0.0127, is less than $\alpha$ = 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of the alternative hypothesis H A : μ > 3.

Note that we would not reject H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of H A : μ > 3 if we lowered our willingness to make a Type I error to $\alpha$ = 0.01 instead, as the P -value, 0.0127, is then greater than $\alpha$ = 0.01.

Left Tailed

In our example concerning the mean grade point average, suppose that our random sample of n = 15 students majoring in mathematics yields a test statistic t * instead of equaling -2.5. The P -value for conducting the left-tailed test H 0 : μ = 3 versus H A : μ < 3 is the probability that we would observe a test statistic less than t * = -2.5 if the population mean μ really were 3. The P -value is therefore the area under a t n - 1 = t 14 curve and to the left of the test statistic t* = -2.5. It can be shown using statistical software that the P -value is 0.0127. The graph depicts this visually.

t distribution graph showing left tail below t value of -2.5

The P -value, 0.0127, tells us it is "unlikely" that we would observe such an extreme test statistic t * in the direction of H A if the null hypothesis were true. Therefore, our initial assumption that the null hypothesis is true must be incorrect. That is, since the P -value, 0.0127, is less than α = 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of the alternative hypothesis H A : μ < 3.

Note that we would not reject H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of H A : μ < 3 if we lowered our willingness to make a Type I error to α = 0.01 instead, as the P -value, 0.0127, is then greater than $\alpha$ = 0.01.

In our example concerning the mean grade point average, suppose again that our random sample of n = 15 students majoring in mathematics yields a test statistic t * instead of equaling -2.5. The P -value for conducting the two-tailed test H 0 : μ = 3 versus H A : μ ≠ 3 is the probability that we would observe a test statistic less than -2.5 or greater than 2.5 if the population mean μ really was 3. That is, the two-tailed test requires taking into account the possibility that the test statistic could fall into either tail (hence the name "two-tailed" test). The P -value is, therefore, the area under a t n - 1 = t 14 curve to the left of -2.5 and to the right of 2.5. It can be shown using statistical software that the P -value is 0.0127 + 0.0127, or 0.0254. The graph depicts this visually.

t-distribution graph of two tailed probability for t values of -2.5 and 2.5

Note that the P -value for a two-tailed test is always two times the P -value for either of the one-tailed tests. The P -value, 0.0254, tells us it is "unlikely" that we would observe such an extreme test statistic t * in the direction of H A if the null hypothesis were true. Therefore, our initial assumption that the null hypothesis is true must be incorrect. That is, since the P -value, 0.0254, is less than α = 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of the alternative hypothesis H A : μ ≠ 3.

Note that we would not reject H 0 : μ = 3 in favor of H A : μ ≠ 3 if we lowered our willingness to make a Type I error to α = 0.01 instead, as the P -value, 0.0254, is then greater than $\alpha$ = 0.01.

Now that we have reviewed the critical value and P -value approach procedures for each of the three possible hypotheses, let's look at three new examples — one of a right-tailed test, one of a left-tailed test, and one of a two-tailed test.

The good news is that, whenever possible, we will take advantage of the test statistics and P -values reported in statistical software, such as Minitab, to conduct our hypothesis tests in this course.

9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 : The null hypothesis: It is a statement of no difference between the variables—they are not related. This can often be considered the status quo and as a result if you cannot accept the null it requires some action.

H a : The alternative hypothesis: It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 . This is usually what the researcher is trying to prove.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are "reject H 0 " if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or "do not reject H 0 " or "decline to reject H 0 " if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

Example 9.1

H 0 : No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ .30 H a : More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Example 9.2

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are: H 0 : μ = 2.0 H a : μ ≠ 2.0

H 0 : μ __ 66
H a : μ __ 66

Example 9.3

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are: H 0 : μ ≥ 5 H a : μ < 5

H 0 : μ __ 45
H a : μ __ 45

Example 9.4

H 0 : p __ 0.40
H a : p __ 0.40

Collaborative Exercise

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Chapter 8: Hypothesis Testing with One Sample

8.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

Learning objectives.

By the end of this section, the student should be able to:

Describe hypothesis testing in general and in practice.

Hypothesis Testing

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H a : The alternative hypothesis: It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are “reject H 0 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject H 0 ” or “decline to reject H 0 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

H 0 : No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30

H a : More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 :: The drug reduces cholesterol by 25%. p = 0.25

H a : The drug does not reduce cholesterol by 25%. p ≠ 0.25

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ = 2.0

H a : μ ≠ 2.0

H 0 : μ = 66
H a : μ ≠ 66

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ ≥ 5

H a : μ < 5

Ha: μ < 45

In an issue of U.S. News and World Report , an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third pass. The same article stated that 6.6% of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4% pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H0: p ≤ 0.066

Ha: p > 0.066

H 0 : p = 0.40
H a : p > 0.40

Data from the National Institute of Mental Health. Available online at http://www.nimh.nih.gov/publicat/depression.cfm.

a statement about the value of a population parameter, in case of two hypotheses, the statement assumed to be true is called the null hypothesis (notation H0) and the contradictory statement is called the alternative hypothesis (notation Ha).

Share This Book

Much of statistical reasoning was developed in the context of quality control where you need a definite yes or no answer from every analysis. Do you accept or reject the batch? The logic used to obtain the answer is called hypothesis testing.

First, define a threshold P value before you do the experiment. Ideally, you should set this value based on the relative consequences of missing a true difference or falsely finding a difference. In practice, the threshold value (called alpha) is almost always set to 0.05 (an arbitrary value that has been widely adopted).

Next, define the null hypothesis. If you are comparing two means, the null hypothesis is that the two populations have the same mean. When analyzing an experiment, the null hypothesis is usually the opposite of the experimental hypothesis. Your experimental hypothesis -- the reason you did the experiment -- is that the treatment changes the mean. The null hypothesis is that two populations have the same mean (or that the treatment has no effect).

Now, perform the appropriate statistical test to compute the P value.

• If the P value is less than the threshold, state that you “reject the null hypothesis” and that the difference is “statistically significant”.

• If the P value is greater than the threshold, state that you “do not reject the null hypothesis” and that the difference is “not statistically significant”. You cannot conclude that the null hypothesis is true. All you can do is conclude that you don't have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

Statistics Made Easy

Understanding the Null Hypothesis for Linear Regression

Linear regression is a technique we can use to understand the relationship between one or more predictor variables and a response variable .

If we only have one predictor variable and one response variable, we can use simple linear regression , which uses the following formula to estimate the relationship between the variables:

ŷ = β 0 + β 1 x

ŷ: The estimated response value.
β 0 : The average value of y when x is zero.
β 1 : The average change in y associated with a one unit increase in x.
x: The value of the predictor variable.

Simple linear regression uses the following null and alternative hypotheses:

H 0 : β 1 = 0
H A : β 1 ≠ 0

The null hypothesis states that the coefficient β 1 is equal to zero. In other words, there is no statistically significant relationship between the predictor variable, x, and the response variable, y.

The alternative hypothesis states that β 1 is not equal to zero. In other words, there is a statistically significant relationship between x and y.

If we have multiple predictor variables and one response variable, we can use multiple linear regression , which uses the following formula to estimate the relationship between the variables:

ŷ = β 0 + β 1 x 1 + β 2 x 2 + … + β k x k

β 0 : The average value of y when all predictor variables are equal to zero.
β i : The average change in y associated with a one unit increase in x i .
x i : The value of the predictor variable x i .

Multiple linear regression uses the following null and alternative hypotheses:

H 0 : β 1 = β 2 = … = β k = 0
H A : β 1 = β 2 = … = β k ≠ 0

The null hypothesis states that all coefficients in the model are equal to zero. In other words, none of the predictor variables have a statistically significant relationship with the response variable, y.

The alternative hypothesis states that not every coefficient is simultaneously equal to zero.

The following examples show how to decide to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis in both simple linear regression and multiple linear regression models.

Example 1: Simple Linear Regression

Suppose a professor would like to use the number of hours studied to predict the exam score that students will receive in his class. He collects data for 20 students and fits a simple linear regression model.

The following screenshot shows the output of the regression model:

Output of simple linear regression in Excel

The fitted simple linear regression model is:

Exam Score = 67.1617 + 5.2503*(hours studied)

To determine if there is a statistically significant relationship between hours studied and exam score, we need to analyze the overall F value of the model and the corresponding p-value:

Overall F-Value: 47.9952
P-value: 0.000

Since this p-value is less than .05, we can reject the null hypothesis. In other words, there is a statistically significant relationship between hours studied and exam score received.

Example 2: Multiple Linear Regression

Suppose a professor would like to use the number of hours studied and the number of prep exams taken to predict the exam score that students will receive in his class. He collects data for 20 students and fits a multiple linear regression model.

Multiple linear regression output in Excel

The fitted multiple linear regression model is:

Exam Score = 67.67 + 5.56*(hours studied) – 0.60*(prep exams taken)

To determine if there is a jointly statistically significant relationship between the two predictor variables and the response variable, we need to analyze the overall F value of the model and the corresponding p-value:

Overall F-Value: 23.46
P-value: 0.00

Since this p-value is less than .05, we can reject the null hypothesis. In other words, hours studied and prep exams taken have a jointly statistically significant relationship with exam score.

Note: Although the p-value for prep exams taken (p = 0.52) is not significant, prep exams combined with hours studied has a significant relationship with exam score.

Additional Resources

Understanding the F-Test of Overall Significance in Regression How to Read and Interpret a Regression Table How to Report Regression Results How to Perform Simple Linear Regression in Excel How to Perform Multiple Linear Regression in Excel

Hey there. My name is Zach Bobbitt. I have a Master of Science degree in Applied Statistics and I’ve worked on machine learning algorithms for professional businesses in both healthcare and retail. I’m passionate about statistics, machine learning, and data visualization and I created Statology to be a resource for both students and teachers alike. My goal with this site is to help you learn statistics through using simple terms, plenty of real-world examples, and helpful illustrations.

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Null Hypothesis , often denoted as H 0, is a foundational concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It represents an assumption that no significant difference, effect, or relationship exists between variables within a population. It serves as a baseline assumption, positing no observed change or effect occurring. The null is t he truth or falsity of an idea in analysis.

In this article, we will discuss the null hypothesis in detail, along with some solved examples and questions on the null hypothesis.

Table of Content

What Is a Null Hypothesis?

Symbol of Null Hypothesis

Formula of null hypothesis, types of null hypothesis, principle of null hypothesis, how do you find null hypothesis, what is a null hypothesis.

Null Hypothesis in statistical analysis suggests the absence of statistical significance within a specific set of observed data. Hypothesis testing, using sample data, evaluates the validity of this hypothesis. Commonly denoted as H 0 or simply “null,” it plays an important role in quantitative analysis, examining theories related to markets, investment strategies, or economies to determine their validity.

Definition of Null Hypothesis

Null Hypothesis represent a default position, often suggesting no effect or difference, against which researchers compare their experimental results. The Null Hypothesis, often denoted as H 0 , asserts a default assumption in statistical analysis. It posits no significant difference or effect, serving as a baseline for comparison in hypothesis testing.

Null Hypothesis is represented as H 0 , the Null Hypothesis symbolizes the absence of a measurable effect or difference in the variables under examination.

Certainly, a simple example would be asserting that the mean score of a group is equal to a specified value like stating that the average IQ of a population is 100.

The Null Hypothesis is typically formulated as a statement of equality or absence of a specific parameter in the population being studied. It provides a clear and testable prediction for comparison with the alternative hypothesis. The formulation of the Null Hypothesis typically follows a concise structure, stating the equality or absence of a specific parameter in the population.

Mean Comparison (Two-sample t-test)

H 0 : μ 1 = μ 2

This asserts that there is no significant difference between the means of two populations or groups.

Proportion Comparison

H 0 : p 1 − p 2 = 0

This suggests no significant difference in proportions between two populations or conditions.

Equality in Variance (F-test in ANOVA)

H 0 : σ 1 = σ 2

This states that there’s no significant difference in variances between groups or populations.

Independence (Chi-square Test of Independence):

H 0 : Variables are independent

This asserts that there’s no association or relationship between categorical variables.

Null Hypotheses vary including simple and composite forms, each tailored to the complexity of the research question. Understanding these types is pivotal for effective hypothesis testing.

Equality Null Hypothesis (Simple Null Hypothesis)

The Equality Null Hypothesis, also known as the Simple Null Hypothesis, is a fundamental concept in statistical hypothesis testing that assumes no difference, effect or relationship between groups, conditions or populations being compared.

Non-Inferiority Null Hypothesis

In some studies, the focus might be on demonstrating that a new treatment or method is not significantly worse than the standard or existing one.

Superiority Null Hypothesis

The concept of a superiority null hypothesis comes into play when a study aims to demonstrate that a new treatment, method, or intervention is significantly better than an existing or standard one.

Independence Null Hypothesis

In certain statistical tests, such as chi-square tests for independence, the null hypothesis assumes no association or independence between categorical variables.

Homogeneity Null Hypothesis

In tests like ANOVA (Analysis of Variance), the null hypothesis suggests that there’s no difference in population means across different groups.

Examples of Null Hypothesis

Medicine: Null Hypothesis: “No significant difference exists in blood pressure levels between patients given the experimental drug versus those given a placebo.”
Education: Null Hypothesis: “There’s no significant variation in test scores between students using a new teaching method and those using traditional teaching.”
Economics: Null Hypothesis: “There’s no significant change in consumer spending pre- and post-implementation of a new taxation policy.”
Environmental Science: Null Hypothesis: “There’s no substantial difference in pollution levels before and after a water treatment plant’s establishment.”

The principle of the null hypothesis is a fundamental concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It involves making an assumption about the population parameter or the absence of an effect or relationship between variables.

In essence, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) proposes that there is no significant difference, effect, or relationship between variables. It serves as a starting point or a default assumption that there is no real change, no effect or no difference between groups or conditions.

$\alpha$

Null Hypothesis Rejection

Rejecting the Null Hypothesis occurs when statistical evidence suggests a significant departure from the assumed baseline. It implies that there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis, indicating a meaningful effect or difference. Null Hypothesis rejection occurs when statistical evidence suggests a deviation from the assumed baseline, prompting a reconsideration of the initial hypothesis.

Identifying the Null Hypothesis involves defining the status quotient, asserting no effect and formulating a statement suitable for statistical analysis.

When is Null Hypothesis Rejected?

The Null Hypothesis is rejected when statistical tests indicate a significant departure from the expected outcome, leading to the consideration of alternative hypotheses. It occurs when statistical evidence suggests a deviation from the assumed baseline, prompting a reconsideration of the initial hypothesis.

Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis

In the realm of hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) and alternative hypothesis (H₁ or Ha) play critical roles. The null hypothesis generally assumes no difference, effect, or relationship between variables, suggesting that any observed change or effect is due to random chance. Its counterpart, the alternative hypothesis, asserts the presence of a significant difference, effect, or relationship between variables, challenging the null hypothesis. These hypotheses are formulated based on the research question and guide statistical analyses.

Null Hypothesis vs Alternative Hypothesis

The null hypothesis (H 0 ) serves as the baseline assumption in statistical testing, suggesting no significant effect, relationship, or difference within the data. It often proposes that any observed change or correlation is merely due to chance or random variation. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis (H 1 or Ha) contradicts the null hypothesis, positing the existence of a genuine effect, relationship or difference in the data. It represents the researcher’s intended focus, seeking to provide evidence against the null hypothesis and support for a specific outcome or theory. These hypotheses form the crux of hypothesis testing, guiding the assessment of data to draw conclusions about the population being studied.

Example of Alternative and Null Hypothesis

Let’s envision a scenario where a researcher aims to examine the impact of a new medication on reducing blood pressure among patients. In this context:

Null Hypothesis (H 0 ): “The new medication does not produce a significant effect in reducing blood pressure levels among patients.”

Alternative Hypothesis (H 1 or Ha): “The new medication yields a significant effect in reducing blood pressure levels among patients.”

The null hypothesis implies that any observed alterations in blood pressure subsequent to the medication’s administration are a result of random fluctuations rather than a consequence of the medication itself. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis contends that the medication does indeed generate a meaningful alteration in blood pressure levels, distinct from what might naturally occur or by random chance.

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Probability and Statistics

Solved Examples on Null Hypothesis

Example 1: A researcher claims that the average time students spend on homework is 2 hours per night.

Null Hypothesis (H 0 ): The average time students spend on homework is equal to 2 hours per night. Data: A random sample of 30 students has an average homework time of 1.8 hours with a standard deviation of 0.5 hours. Test Statistic and Decision: Using a t-test, if the calculated t-statistic falls within the acceptance region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. If it falls in the rejection region, we reject the null hypothesis. Conclusion: Based on the statistical analysis, we fail to reject the null hypothesis, suggesting that there is not enough evidence to dispute the claim of the average homework time being 2 hours per night.

Example 2: A company asserts that the error rate in its production process is less than 1%.

Null Hypothesis (H 0 ): The error rate in the production process is 1% or higher. Data: A sample of 500 products shows an error rate of 0.8%. Test Statistic and Decision: Using a z-test, if the calculated z-statistic falls within the acceptance region, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. If it falls in the rejection region, we reject the null hypothesis. Conclusion: The statistical analysis supports rejecting the null hypothesis, indicating that there is enough evidence to dispute the company’s claim of an error rate of 1% or higher.

Null Hypothesis – Practice Problems

Q1. A researcher claims that the average time spent by students on homework is less than 2 hours per day. Formulate the null hypothesis for this claim?

Q2. A manufacturing company states that their new machine produces widgets with a defect rate of less than 5%. Write the null hypothesis to test this claim?

Q3. An educational institute believes that their online course completion rate is at least 60%. Develop the null hypothesis to validate this assertion?

Q4. A restaurant claims that the waiting time for customers during peak hours is not more than 15 minutes. Formulate the null hypothesis for this claim?

Q5. A study suggests that the mean weight loss after following a specific diet plan for a month is more than 8 pounds. Construct the null hypothesis to evaluate this statement?

Null Hypothesis – Frequently Asked Questions

How to form a null hypothesis.

A null hypothesis is formed based on the assumption that there is no significant difference or effect between the groups being compared or no association between variables being tested. It often involves stating that there is no relationship, no change, or no effect in the population being studied.

When Do we reject the Null Hypothesis?

In statistical hypothesis testing, if the p-value (the probability of obtaining the observed results) is lower than the chosen significance level (commonly 0.05), we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests that the data provides enough evidence to refute the assumption made in the null hypothesis.

What is a Null Hypothesis in Research?

In research, the null hypothesis represents the default assumption or position that there is no significant difference or effect. Researchers often try to test this hypothesis by collecting data and performing statistical analyses to see if the observed results contradict the assumption.

What Are Alternative and Null Hypotheses?

The null hypothesis (H0) is the default assumption that there is no significant difference or effect. The alternative hypothesis (H1 or Ha) is the opposite, suggesting there is a significant difference, effect or relationship.

What Does it Mean to Reject the Null Hypothesis?

Rejecting the null hypothesis implies that there is enough evidence in the data to support the alternative hypothesis. In simpler terms, it suggests that there might be a significant difference, effect or relationship between the groups or variables being studied.

How to Find Null Hypothesis?

Formulating a null hypothesis often involves considering the research question and assuming that no difference or effect exists. It should be a statement that can be tested through data collection and statistical analysis, typically stating no relationship or no change between variables or groups.

How is Null Hypothesis denoted?

The null hypothesis is commonly symbolized as H 0 in statistical notation.

What is the Purpose of the Null hypothesis in Statistical Analysis?

The null hypothesis serves as a starting point for hypothesis testing, enabling researchers to assess if there’s enough evidence to reject it in favor of an alternative hypothesis.

What happens if we Reject the Null hypothesis?

Rejecting the null hypothesis implies that there is sufficient evidence to support an alternative hypothesis, suggesting a significant effect or relationship between variables.

Is it Possible to Prove the Null Hypothesis?

No, statistical testing aims to either reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis based on evidence from sample data. It does not prove the null hypothesis to be true.

What are Test for Null Hypothesis?

Various statistical tests, such as t-tests or chi-square tests, are employed to evaluate the validity of the Null Hypothesis in different scenarios.

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Null & Alternative Hypotheses
Null hypothesis (H 0): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable. Alternative hypothesis (H a): Independent variable affects dependent variable. Test-specific template sentences. Once you know the statistical test you'll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose ...
9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. H 0, the —null hypothesis: a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions or no difference between a sample mean or proportion and a population mean or proportion. In other words, the difference equals 0.
9.1: Null and Alternative Hypotheses
Review. In a hypothesis test, sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim.If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis, typically denoted with $H_{0}$.The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise.
Null Hypothesis: Definition, Rejecting & Examples
When your sample contains sufficient evidence, you can reject the null and conclude that the effect is statistically significant. Statisticians often denote the null hypothesis as H 0 or H A.. Null Hypothesis H 0: No effect exists in the population.; Alternative Hypothesis H A: The effect exists in the population.; In every study or experiment, researchers assess an effect or relationship.
6.5 Introduction to Hypothesis Tests
The hypothesis test works by asking the question how unlikely the sample mean would be if the null hypothesis were true. The graph shows how far out the sample mean is on the normal curve. The p -value is the probability that, if we were to take other samples, any other sample mean would fall at least as far out as 17 cm.
Null-Hypothesis Testing with Graphs
The null-hypothesis H0 can, therefore, not be rejected. The AUC (area under the curve) right from 0.9 = not 5 %, but rather 35 % or so of the entire AUC. And so p = 0.35 (35 %). In the above graph the mean is 2 SEMs distant from 0. Alpha level of rejection = 2. The AUC right from 2 is only 5 % of the entire AUC.
9.2: Hypothesis Testing
Null and Alternative Hypotheses. The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. $H_0$: The null hypothesis: It is a statement of no difference between the variables—they are not related. This can often be considered the status quo and as a result if you cannot accept the ...
Examples of null and alternative hypotheses
It is the opposite of your research hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis--that is, the research hypothesis--is the idea, phenomenon, observation that you want to prove. If you suspect that girls take longer to get ready for school than boys, then: Alternative: girls time > boys time. Null: girls time <= boys time.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test: Null hypothesis (H0): There's no effect in the population. Alternative hypothesis (HA): There's an effect in the population. The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent ...
Hypothesis Test Graph Generator
Hypothesis Test Graph Generator. Note: After clicking "Draw here", you can click the "Copy to Clipboard" button (in Internet Explorer), or right-click on the graph and choose Copy. In your Word processor, choose Paste-Special from the Edit menu, and select "Bitmap" from the choices. Note: This creates the graph based on the shape of the normal ...
Null & Alternative Hypothesis
The general procedure for testing the null hypothesis is as follows: Suppose you perform a statistical test of the null hypothesis with α = .05 and obtain a p-value of p = .04, thereby rejecting the null hypothesis. This does not mean there is a 4% probability of the null hypothesis being true, i.e. P(H0) =.04.
Null Hypothesis Definition and Examples, How to State
Step 1: Figure out the hypothesis from the problem. The hypothesis is usually hidden in a word problem, and is sometimes a statement of what you expect to happen in the experiment. The hypothesis in the above question is "I expect the average recovery period to be greater than 8.2 weeks.". Step 2: Convert the hypothesis to math.
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. H 0: The null hypothesis: It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.
S.3.2 Hypothesis Testing (P-Value Approach)
The graph depicts this visually. The P-value, 0.0127, tells us it is "unlikely" that we would observe such an extreme test statistic t* in the direction of H A if the null hypothesis were true. Therefore, our initial assumption that the null hypothesis is true must be incorrect. ... 0.0254, is less than α = 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis ...
How Hypothesis Tests Work: Significance Levels (Alpha) and P values
The two shaded regions in the graph are equidistant from the central value of the null hypothesis. Each region has a probability of 0.025, which sums to our desired total of 0.05. These shaded areas are called the critical region for a two-tailed hypothesis test.
How to Write a Null Hypothesis (5 Examples)
Whenever we perform a hypothesis test, we always write a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis, which take the following forms: H0 (Null Hypothesis): Population parameter =, ≤, ≥ some value. HA (Alternative Hypothesis): Population parameter <, >, ≠ some value. Note that the null hypothesis always contains the equal sign.
Null hypothesis
Basic definitions. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis are types of conjectures used in statistical tests to make statistical inferences, which are formal methods of reaching conclusions and separating scientific claims from statistical noise.. The statement being tested in a test of statistical significance is called the null hypothesis. . The test of significance is designed ...
9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. H 0: The null hypothesis: It is a statement of no difference between the variables—they are not related. This can often be considered the status quo and as a result if you cannot accept the null it requires some action.
8.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses
Hypothesis Testing. The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. H 0: The null hypothesis: It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.
GraphPad Prism 10 Statistics Guide
Your experimental hypothesis -- the reason you did the experiment -- is that the treatment changes the mean. The null hypothesis is that two populations have the same mean (or that the treatment has no effect). Now, perform the appropriate statistical test to compute the P value. •If the P value is less than the threshold, state that you ...
Understanding the Null Hypothesis for Linear Regression
x: The value of the predictor variable. Simple linear regression uses the following null and alternative hypotheses: H0: β1 = 0. HA: β1 ≠ 0. The null hypothesis states that the coefficient β1 is equal to zero. In other words, there is no statistically significant relationship between the predictor variable, x, and the response variable, y.
Null Hypothesis
Null Hypothesis, often denoted as H0, is a foundational concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It represents an assumption that no significant difference, effect, or relationship exists between variables within a population. It serves as a baseline assumption, positing no observed change or effect occurring.

6.5 Introduction to Hypothesis Tests

Defining your hypotheses

Using the Sample to Test the Null Hypothesis

Calculating a Test Statistic

Making a Decision

P-Value Method

Decision and conclusion

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9.2: Hypothesis Testing

Null and Alternative Hypotheses

Example \(\PageIndex{1}\)

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COLLABORATIVE EXERCISE

Outcomes and the Type I and Type II Errors

Example \(\PageIndex{5}\): Type I vs. Type II errors

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Distribution Needed for Hypothesis Testing

Assumptions

Rare Events, the Sample, Decision and Conclusion

Rare Events

Using the Sample to Test the Null Hypothesis

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Understanding the Null Hypothesis for Linear Regression

Example 1: Simple Linear Regression